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2010 Nick’s Picks – MAC Preview & Review (Week #11)
MAC & Team Notes:
This Week’s MAC Schedule
Tuesday, November 9
* Toledo at Northern Illinois, 7:00 pm ET (ESPN2/ESPN2 HD)
Wednesday, November 10
* Miami at Bowling Green, 8:00 pm ET (ESPN2/ESPN2 HD)
Friday, November 12
* Ball State at Buffalo, 6:00 pm ET (ESPNU/ESPNU HD)
Saturday, November 13
Army at Kent State, 2:00 pm ET (All MACcess)
*Eastern Michigan at Western Michigan, 2:00 pm ET (All MACcess)
Central Michigan at Navy, 3:30 pm ET ( CBS College Sports)
*Mid-American Conference game
Nick’s Picks for Week #11
Toledo (6-3, 5-0 MAC) at Northern Illinois (7-2, 5-0 MAC)
Tuesday, November 9, 2010 • 7:00 pm ET • DeKalb, Ill. • Brigham Field at Huskie Stadium (24,000); ESPN2
Series: Toledo leads 29-8
Toledo WR Eric Page ranks tied for eighth in the nation with 7.33 receptions per game and 21st with 86.22 receiving yards per game...Linebackers Archie Donald ranks 22nd in the nation in total tackles (88) and Dan Molls ranks 23rd (87)...Lead the MAC with a +9 turnover differential...Rockets rank 22nd in the nation in rush defense (116.3 ypg). Northern Illinois ranks 11th in the nation in rushing offense (243.33 ypg) and RB Chad Spann ranks 12th in the country in rushing (111.1 ypg)...Huskies rank sixth in the nation in third down percentage on offense (51.64%), eighth in time of possession (32:52) and tied for 16th in scoring defense (18.67 ppg).
Nick’s Pick: NIU 27 – Toledo 23
Comment: The Rockets have been a pain in NIU’s side winning 14 of the last 16 contests between these two divisional rivals. As Toledo’s defense has vastly improved from last year and they are playing better on the road than at home, give the nod to the Huskies but don’t be surprised if UT makes it 15 of the last 17.
Miami (5-4, 4-1 MAC) at Bowling Green (2-7, 1-4 MAC)
Wednesday, November 10, 2010 • 8:00 pm ET • Bowling Green, Ohio • Doyt L. Perry Stadium (24,000); ESPN2
Series: Miami leads 41-20-5
Miami ranks tied for eighth in the nation in red zone defense (68%) and 19th in time of possession (31:45)...Miami QB Zac Dysert ranks 16th in the country in completions per game (22.56)...WR Armand Robinson ranks 12th in the nation in receptions per game (6.67). The Falcons play two of the final three at home (vs. Miami, at Toledo, vs. Western Michigan)...QB Matt Schilz ranks 12th in the nation in completions per game (23.39)...WR Kamar Jorden ranks third in the country in receptions per game (8.44), 13th in total receiving yards (825) and 14th in receiving yards per game (91.67).
Nick’s Pick: Miami 33 – BGSU 24
Comment: The ‘ Miami Whammy’ is back at Doyt-Perry this week.
Ball State (3-7, 2-4 MAC) at Buffalo (2-7, 1-4 MAC)
Friday, November 12, 2010 • 6:00 pm ET • Buffalo, N.Y. • UB Stadium (29,013)
Series: Ball State leads 6-1
Kickoff returner Eric Williams ranks fifth in the nation with a 29.65 avg...Cardinals rank fourth in the MAC in rushing offense (156.5 ypg)...K Ian McGarvey is tied for the conference lead with 12 field goals and ranks second among kickers with 60 points. Buffalo DB Domonic Cook is tied for second in the nation with six interceptions
and tied for sixth with 12 passes defended...Terrell Jackson ranks seventh in the nation in punt return average (18.18 avg.)... Buffalo plays two of the last three games at home (vs. Ball State, vs. Eastern Michigan, at Akron).
Nick’s Pick: Buffalo 26 – Ball State 17
Comment: Both teams are enduring difficult seasons, look for this to be a very competitive game.
Army (5-4 Independent) at Kent State (4-5, 3-3 MAC)
Saturday, November 13, 2010 • 2:00 pm ET • Kent, Ohio • Dix Stadium (25,000)
All MACcess Web Streaming via www.mac-sports.com
Series: Army leads 1-0
Army lost last week to Air Force, 42-22, as the 20-point loss was Army’s largest defeat of the season as the Black Knights’ previous three losses were by a combined 13 points...After traveling to Kent State, play their final two games at neutral site stadiums--vs. Notre Dame at Yankee Stadium and vs. Navy in Philadelphia. Kent State ranks first in the nation in rush defense (69.3 ypg) and ninth in the country in total defense (298.8 ypg)...DT Roosevelt Nix ranks third in the nation in tackles for loss (17.0) and 11th in sacks (8.5)...Defense has held an opponent under 100 yards rushing in seven games this season...Play two of the final three games at home.
Nick’s Pick: Army 35 – Kent State 14
Comment: Army will become bowl eligible after this win…
Eastern Michigan (1-8, 1-4 MAC) at Western Michigan (3-6, 2-3 MAC)
Saturday, November 13, 2010 • 2:00 pm ET • Kalamazoo, Mich. • Waldo Stadium (30,200); All MACcess Web Streaming via www.mac-sports.com
Series: Western Michigan leads 28-15-2
Eagles rank fifth in the conference in rushing offense (154.8 ypg) and sixth in total offense (333.0 ypg)...Play two of the final three games on the road (at Western Michigan, at Buffalo, vs. Northern Illinois)...LB Tim Fort ranks tied for 15th in the nation with three forced fumbles (0.38 per game). Bronco’s rank 13th in the nation in passing offense (295.78
ypg)...QB Alex Carder ranks seventh in the country in completions per game (25.44), 10th in passing yards per game (285.67) and 12th in total passing yards (2,571)...WR Jordan White ranks fourth in the nation in total receiving yards (1,057) and Juan Nunez ranks 20th (768).
Nick’s Pick: Western 30 – Eastern 13
Comment: Both teams are struggling but the Broncos do have much more firepower.
Central Michigan (3-7, 2-5 MAC) at Navy (7-3, Independent)
Saturday, November 13, 2010 • 3:30 pm ET • Annapolis, Md. • Navy-Marine Corps (34,000); CBS College Sports
Series: Navy leads 1-0
Chippewas QB Ryan Radcliff ranks 10th in the nation in total passing yards (2,642), 19th in passing yards per game (264.2 ypg) and 20th in completions per game (21.8)...WR Cody Wilson ranks ninth in the country in total receiving yards (902) and 16th in receiving yards per game (90.2). Navy rolled to a 76-35 win at East Carolina last Saturday...Navy ranks fifth in the country in turnover margin (+1.2 per game) and seventh in rushing offense (287.8 ypg)...LB Tyler Simmons ranks 16th in the nation in tackles per game (10.2), while DE Jabaree Tuani is tied for 22nd in tackles for a loss per game (1.4).
Nick’s Pick: Navy 52 – Central 20
Comment: Navy is the read deal and put up 76 points on East Carolina last week.
Nick’s Picks went 2-2 last week and now stand 67- 19 YTD
Nick’s Pick: Ohio 33 – Buffalo 20
Actual Score: Ohio 34 – Buffalo 17
Comment: Just like we predicted it…
Nick’s Pick: Western 31 – Central 23
Actual Score: Central 26 – Western 22
Comment: Western’s four turnovers were the key killer
Nick’s Pick: Ball State 27 – Akron 16
Actual Score: Ball State 37 – Akron 30 (2 OTs)
Comment: We did state that this was Akron’s last shot at a win in 2010
Nick’s Pick: Kent State 20 – Temple 16
Actual Score: Temple 28 – Kent State 10
Comment: The Owls dominated the Golden Flashes